thethirdgracchi [he/him, they/them]

ἐγὼ τὸ μὲν δὴ πανταχοῦ θρυλούμενον κράτιστον εἶναι φημὶ μὴ φῦναι βροτῷ·

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Joined 5 years ago
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Cake day: July 26th, 2020

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  • I think more broadly that ship has already sailed. We’re still in year 1 of Trump 2. The world is a vastly different place than he left it in 2020, and getting even crazier. Trump 1 was more of a tone thing, but most of his whims were kept in check because the neo-cons were in charge. Trump 2 is very different, he’s got the true believers steering things. You can’t just hand wave away the massive geopolitical shifts that have happened; realistically by the time 2028 rolls around the war in Ukraine might be over, a war with China in the cards or already ongoing, like massive shifts having a Dem in charge can’t do anything about (even if they wanted to). Biden didn’t really reverse anything Trump 1 did, but none of it was so big that the rest of the world was like “oh fuck.” Trump 2 has already done a ridiculous amount of shit the rest of the world is actively working against because they’re already so big, so whether 2028 is a Democrat or a Republican I think is irrelevant.










  • This line of thinking also brings up a very relevant point, in that as oil becomes less important the American grip on the world financial system through the dollar is also weakened. The more renewable energy China produces and exports to places like Africa, the less relevant oil becomes in those economies, and the less need there is to price trade in dollars. This has a sort of feedback loop. This is not the intent of the mass Chinese pivot to green energy production, but it is an effect, an interesting effect that they could harness if they wanted to wage a real war against the dollar. This is also relevant with Europe tying itself closer and closer to oil (their recent revoking of the ban on ICE vehicles post-2030), kind of tying themselves further to the petrodollar system rather than embrace green energy. This is a very interesting work, thank you for sharing here. I’ll have to give the whole thing a read.