• ReadFanon [any, any]@hexbear.net
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    14 days ago

    The question, though, is how badly will this affect Venezuelan resistance?

    Very hard to tell and I think it’s going to be largely contingent on the Venezuelan military response. The colectivos are armed and trained but they are militias and they aren’t likely to be able to resist in a significant way without Venezuelan military support, especially if the military turns on them.

    If it was a full-blown Afghanistan style occupation then the colectivos could be expected to be very useful as an insurgent force but I don’t think this one is a fight they are big enough to take on so as it stands currently, I think the vast majority of the resistance would come from the Venezuelan military, which appears not to have fired a single shot.

    How far in the territory can American aircrafts go before they’re in serious trouble?

    Honestly, I’m not a military guy I’m a geopolitics girlie so I can’t say anything authoritatively in this respect but it’s hard to imagine a Venezuelan military with air defence capabilities enough to resist the US. If they went all-in on drones and prepared for a pitched battle then it’s possible that there would be strong resistance but I don’t know how realistic that would have been.

    Venezuela isn’t renowned for its military capacity and their military, at least historically, has a tendency towards disloyalty so I’m not that hopeful about their capacity to pose much resistance at this stage.